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Dr. Alex Vance

Principal Data Scientist · Decision Science Lead
alex.vance@datascience.io
+1 (415) 890-3412
San Francisco, CA
linkedin.com/in/alexvance-data
github.com/alexvance-ml
Executive Summary

Principal Data Scientist with 9+ years of experience translating massive multi-terabyte datasets into over $18.4M in quantified business impact. Proven track record leading cross-functional analytics teams across Netflix, Uber, and high-growth FinTech. Expert in causal inference, probabilistic time series forecasting, scalable deep learning recommendation systems, and executive C-suite communication.

Work Experience
Principal Data Scientist · Netflix Analytics
2023 – Present · Los Gatos, CA
  • Architected the global Subscriber Lifetime Value (LTV) and multi-horizon churn forecasting engine on Snowflake, Spark, and XGBoost, achieving 0.892 AUC-ROC.
  • Saved $4.2M in annual recurring revenue by developing automated churn early-warning playbooks for 18.4M active accounts.
  • Led a team of 6 senior data scientists; pioneered causal synthetic control methods to measure content release incrementality across 40+ international regions.
Senior Machine Learning Scientist · Uber Marketplace
2020 – 2023 · San Francisco, CA
  • Engineered real-time dynamic supply-demand spatial pricing models processing 12,000 requests/sec with <15ms p99 latency in Go and PyTorch.
  • Increased marketplace driver utilization by 14.8% and reduced passenger ETAs by 1.6 minutes during severe peak surges.
  • Designed and analyzed 80+ large-scale cluster-randomized A/B experiments across North America and EMEA markets.
Senior Analytics & BI Engineer · Airbnb Growth
2017 – 2020 · San Francisco, CA
  • Built unified multi-touch attribution (MTA) and Bayesian media mix models (MMM) optimizing $24M in annual digital marketing spend.
  • Reduced customer acquisition cost (CAC) by 27% and increased Return on Ad Spend (ROAS) from 2.9x to 3.8x.
  • Built production dbt transformation pipelines serving executive reporting dashboards for 450+ internal stakeholders.
Education
Ph.D. / M.S. in Statistics & Data Science · Stanford University
2013 – 2017
Dissertation: Bayesian Nonparametric Causal Inference in High-Dimensional Spatial Networks (Advisor: Prof. Robert Tibshirani lab).
B.S. in Computer Science & Applied Mathematics · UC Berkeley
2009 – 2013
Summa Cum Laude, Tau Beta Pi Honor Society, GPA 3.96/4.0.
Technical Expertise
Languages: Python (NumPy, SciPy, Pandas, PyTorch), R, SQL, Scala, Bash
ML & Modeling: XGBoost, LightGBM, Scikit-Learn, TensorFlow, SHAP, CausalML, Prophet
Data Engineering: Snowflake, BigQuery, ClickHouse, Apache Spark, Kafka, dbt, Airflow
BI & Viz: Tableau, Power BI, Looker, Streamlit, Plotly, HTML5 Canvas D3
Cloud & DevOps: AWS (SageMaker, S3, EMR), GCP (Vertex AI), Docker, Kubernetes, Git
Specialties: Causal Inference, A/B Testing, Time Series, Fraud Detection, RecSys
Honors & Certifications
AWS Certified Machine Learning - Specialty · Databricks Certified Data Scientist Associate · Tableau Desktop Certified Professional · Google Professional Data Engineer · KDD Best Applied Data Science Paper Nominee (2024).